Russia's shadow fleet reroutes around the Channel, and the sanctions regime starts to look porous
Shadow-fleet tankers tracked by TSN and the Polymarket account are sliding past the English Channel and into the Atlantic façade of Spain and France. The sanctions regime's enforcement problem has just moved to weaker jurisdictions.
Sources: TSN (t.me/tsn_ua); Polymarket (x.com/polymarket/status/); cross-referenced against open maritime trackers and the prediction-market record on Russian crude flows.
Desk note: Monexus has run this story on the strength of Ukrainian-language reporting and a prediction-market signal rather than a Western-wire confirmation, because at the time of writing the rerouting had been most clearly documented by TSN and Polymarket. We flag that asymmetry rather than smooth it over; readers should treat the geographic pattern as plausible and well-corroborated, and the volume estimates as provisional until EUNAVFOR or a major wire publishes ship-by-ship detail.