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Scheffler enters the Open as the favourite, but the smart money is on Europe

Scottie Scheffler remains the bookmakers' favourite for the 154th Open Championship at Royal Birkdale, but sharp action is moving toward Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood and other European hopefuls after the world No. 1 missed the cut at the Scottish Open.

Scottie Scheffler remains the bookmakers' favourite for the 154th Open Championship at Royal Birkdale, but sharp action is moving toward Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood and other European hopefuls after the world No.
Scottie Scheffler remains the bookmakers' favourite for the 154th Open Championship at Royal Birkdale, but sharp action is moving toward Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood and other European hopefuls after the world No. The Guardian / Photography

This article draws on ESPN's 14 July 2026 reporting on Scheffler's Scottish Open exit and his framing of second-place finishes, and ESPN's 15 July 2026 betting column flagging action on Fitzpatrick and Fleetwood. Other indicators, course conditions at Royal Birkdale, links-major results since 2017, are referenced in general terms and were not independently sourced in this thread.

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