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Spain's World Cup and the Death of the Underdog

Polymarket priced Spain as favourites before the final. The result landed with the odds, not against them. That tells us something uncomfortable about modern sport.

Polymarket priced Spain as favourites before the final.
Polymarket priced Spain as favourites before the final. CBS SPORTS HEADLINES · via Monexus Wire

This publication's framing leans into the structural read of tournament sport in the prediction-market era, where Polymarket's pricing of Spain at 59–60% before the final set the dominant beat for the story. The romantic framing from The Indian Express is preserved as the lens the winner operated inside, but the contrarian note is that markets rarely flatter; when one prices a favourite at 60%, the upset that lands against that price is the news, and Spain delivered on the consensus call.

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Spain's World Cup and the Death of the Underdog - The Monexus