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22:17ZGAZAALANPAIsraeli military raids homes in Qalqilya, West Bank22:13ZPRESSTVSeveral explosions reported in Saudi Arabia's Khamis Mushait and Abha following Yemen strikes22:13ZFRANCE24ENUS Space Force confirms weapons deployed in space for first time22:12ZWARTRANSLAUkrainian National Guard destroys Russian Tor-M1 air defense system worth $25 million near Vuhledar22:09ZWFWITNESSNATO fighter jets intercepted a drone over Lithuanian airspace near Kaunas22:07ZINSIDERPAPU.S. Senator Mitch McConnell returns to public view after three months following a fall and hospitalization22:07ZTASNIMNEWSMissile attacks hit Khamis Mushait and Abha in Saudi Arabia22:06ZINTELSLAVAAir raid alerts triggered in Khamis Mushait, Abha, Saudi Arabia
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When the megaphone stops working: Morgan Stanley, Polymarket, and the limits of the social-media presidency

Morgan Stanley says Trump's posts no longer move markets like they once did. Polymarket puts a 4% probability on repealing the 22nd Amendment. Two clean reads of the same underlying re-pricing.

A screenshot of a social media profile for "Tasnim News Agency" (@Tasnimnews_EN) displays an "Account suspended" notice with 135.7K followers.
A screenshot of a social media profile for "Tasnim News Agency" (@Tasnimnews_EN) displays an "Account suspended" notice with 135.7K followers. @abualiexpress · Telegram

Wire provenance

This editorial synthesis draws on the following public wire/social posts:

  • https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/2081107468428488844
  • https://x.com/s_m_marandi/status/2081281190959435793
  • https://poly.market/QDnphm3
  • https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2080832434334036121
  • https://t.me/CryptoBriefing/18403

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When the megaphone stops working: Morgan Stanley, Polymarket, and the limits of the social-media presidency - The Monexus